Qizilqum vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEF
2 - 0
QIZ
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
QIZ
1 - 0
MET
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PAK
1 - 0
QIZ
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
QIZ
1 - 0
FKL
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SOG
2 - 1
QIZ
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SHO
3 - 0
GUL
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OLM
0 - 0
SHO
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SHO
0 - 0
BUN
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BUX
3 - 2
SHO
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 3
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |