Qizilqum vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
46
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BUN
2 - 2
QIZ
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
QIZ
4 - 2
SOG
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TER
1 - 2
QIZ
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
QIZ
2 - 3
PAK
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 0
QIZ
63%
22%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLM
3 - 2
SOG
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
OLM
1 - 2
ALQ
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
PAK
2 - 2
OLM
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLM
2 - 4
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 0
OLM
67%
19%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |