Qizilqum vs Navbahor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
11º
42
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
QIZ
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 2
DSA
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 0
PAK
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 0
QIZ
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 0
MET
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
5 - 2
PAK
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 2
NAV
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
MET
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DSA
0 - 1
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |