Qarabağ vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
QAR
3 - 0
SHF
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
SHF
1 - 0
QAR
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SEB
0 - 2
QAR
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 1
QAR
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SUM
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SFK
1 - 4
SUM
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SUM
0 - 2
FKN
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ALA
7 - 0
SUM
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SUM
1 - 2
ZIR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |