Qarabağ vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
29
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 1
FTC
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 2
QAR
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 2
ZUR
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
QAR
5 - 1
LPO
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 0
QAR
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 1
SEB
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SUM
5 - 0
SEB
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 3
QAR
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
SFK
26%
28%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 0
SEB
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |