Jenlai vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jenlai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UEE
2 - 2
QES
74%
16%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
QES
7 - 0
ATL
36%
24%
41%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +4 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 1
QES
72%
16%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
QES
3 - 3
FCR
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
QES
5 - 0
PRI
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 2
LUS
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
PRI
5 - 3
PEN
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
UEE
5 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 4
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
4 - 3
PEN
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |