UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 0-7
Pyunik vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
CRV
5 - 0
PYU
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PYU
0 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
F91
1 - 4
PYU
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
PYU
0 - 1
F91
36%
24%
41%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CLU
2 - 2
PYU
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
CRV
5 - 0
PYU
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
CRV
6 - 0
RAD
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MLA
1 - 2
CRV
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CRV
5 - 0
KOL
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CRV
4 - 0
RAD
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |