NCAA Division I Horizon League Round 11

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Wright State analysis

Purdue Fort Wayne Wright State
19 ELO 29
0.9% Tilt -3.1%
46722º General ELO ranking 45557º
842º Country ELO ranking 698º
ELO win probability
21.4%
Purdue Fort Wayne
20.6%
Draw
57.9%
Wright State

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
Purdue Fort Wayne
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.9%
Win probability
Wright State
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Purdue Fort Wayne
-38%
-5%
Wright State

ELO progression

Purdue Fort Wayne
Wright State
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Purdue Fort Wayne
Purdue Fort Wayne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2021
PFW
Purdue Fort Wayne
4 - 2
Detroit Mercy
DMT
49%
21%
30%
20 20 0 0
18 Mar. 2021
PFW
Purdue Fort Wayne
0 - 5
UIC Flames
UIC
16%
18%
66%
21 33 12 -1
12 Mar. 2021
CSV
Cleveland State
1 - 0
Purdue Fort Wayne
PFW
76%
14%
10%
20 29 9 +1
06 Mar. 2021
RMC
Robert Morris
1 - 0
Purdue Fort Wayne
PFW
18%
19%
64%
21 14 7 -1
28 Feb. 2021
GBP
 Green Bay
0 - 2
Purdue Fort Wayne
PFW
59%
20%
22%
20 22 2 +1

Matches

Wright State
Wright State
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2021
RMC
Robert Morris
0 - 1
Wright State
WSR
10%
16%
74%
29 14 15 0
24 Mar. 2021
WSR
Wright State
0 - 2
 Green Bay
GBP
69%
17%
14%
30 24 6 -1
18 Mar. 2021
IUJ
IUPUI Jaguars
0 - 2
Wright State
WSR
7%
14%
79%
30 13 17 0
06 Mar. 2021
WSR
Wright State
2 - 2
Oakland
OGG
36%
22%
42%
29 34 5 +1
28 Feb. 2021
WSR
Wright State
1 - 2
Milwaukee Panthers
MPT
51%
21%
28%
30 29 1 -1