Punaruu vs Olympic Mahina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-111%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
10º
6º
3
6º
11º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
OFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Punaruu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
2 - 1
PUN
78%
12%
10%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PUN
2 - 1
PUE
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PUN
0 - 3
TEF
26%
19%
56%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PUN
1 - 1
PIR
19%
16%
66%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VEN
3 - 0
PUN
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olympic Mahina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 3
ASJ
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 4
EXC
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TFC
4 - 3
OLY
35%
20%
45%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 6
TEF
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 2
OLY
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |