CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Pumas UNAM vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 1
PUM
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NER
3 - 0
PUM
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
PUM
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PUM
0 - 0
AME
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
PUM
4 - 1
SAP
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NER
2 - 3
RSL
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NER
3 - 0
PUM
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
DAL
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
NER
41%
24%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NER
0 - 4
GAL
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |