Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Pumas UNAM vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
PUM
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 0
TAC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
QRO
2 - 1
PUM
43%
26%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
PUM
33%
26%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
IVT
3 - 0
RIV
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
PUM
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
IVT
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 4
UCE
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
IVT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |