Pullach vs Affing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PUL
1 - 2
LAN
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PUL
0 - 1
VRG
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 3
PUL
23%
23%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
PUL
2 - 2
ISM
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SON
1 - 1
PUL
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Affing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AFF
3 - 1
AIC
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 0
AFF
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AFF
1 - 1
UNT
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 2
AFF
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AFF
2 - 2
EIC
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |