Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
PUE
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
MAG
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
DSC
1 - 0
PUE
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
USF
2 - 3
PUE
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
USF
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
COQ
1 - 0
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 2
CSD
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
COB
2 - 4
UCO
31%
27%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
DSC
2 - 2
UCO
17%
25%
58%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |