Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 0
PUE
31%
26%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
OHI
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
ANT
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
PUE
4 - 1
ULC
48%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
EVE
0 - 0
PUE
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 0
ULC
55%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EVE
1 - 3
UCO
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 1
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ANT
0 - 0
UCO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 1
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |