Puerto Montt vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NTA
1 - 1
PUE
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 0
CUR
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ANT
3 - 2
PUE
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 3
ULC
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LOT
0 - 2
NTA
40%
27%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CUR
2 - 1
LOT
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LOT
0 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 0
LOT
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ULC
2 - 1
LOT
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |