Puente Arnelas SD vs Villagarcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+548%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puente Arnelas SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FAX
1 - 0
PAR
49%
22%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
CHI
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BEI
0 - 0
PAR
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOR
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
XUV
2 - 2
PAR
24%
21%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Villagarcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
LIB
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AND
3 - 2
VIL
62%
18%
20%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
NOA
18%
19%
63%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DEI
3 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
USD
1 - 2
VIL
48%
20%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |