Puente Arnelas SD vs Mosteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puente Arnelas SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BUE
3 - 2
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
ZAC
3 - 0
PAR
35%
24%
42%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ROM
3 - 1
PAR
42%
23%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
4 - 1
FAX
49%
21%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mosteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 2
AMA
14%
20%
66%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CER
1 - 0
MOS
61%
21%
18%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FAX
1 - 0
MOS
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
DEI
1 - 0
MOS
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 1
BUE
22%
22%
57%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |