Puebla Sub 15 vs Toluca Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
78.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
PBL
0 - 2
PAC
5%
15%
80%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PUN
0 - 1
PBL
87%
11%
3%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PBL
1 - 3
AME
5%
11%
84%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LBU
0 - 0
PBL
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PBL
1 - 2
VRC
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TJN
0 - 4
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 4
CAZ
52%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 2
PUN
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AME
0 - 3
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |