Puebla F.C. Premier vs Athletic Club Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla F.C. Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ATV
2 - 0
PUE
45%
23%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 1
PUM
35%
25%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 1
PDC
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 0
PUE
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Club Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 0
ORI
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VER
2 - 2
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
OUN
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATM
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |