Puebla Farnals vs A. Cerro Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla Farnals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
UDT
0 - 1
PUE
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PUE
4 - 0
GUI
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CDP
3 - 3
PUE
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOR
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
PUE
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 2
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 0
SOL
60%
21%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SOL
3 - 2
NER
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UDR
3 - 2
SOL
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 1
CDA
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |