PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PSV
1 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 3
PSV
10%
19%
71%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PSV
4 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
ADO
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 0
ZWO
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 1
WIL
53%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -2 |