PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 4
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 2
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 0
PSV
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 1
SCH
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 3
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZWO
4 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
AZA
32%
24%
43%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
WIL
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |