PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 0
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VVV
0 - 6
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 3
PSV
13%
20%
67%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 0
FEY
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 0
RKC
28%
24%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZWO
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCD
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 6
TWE
14%
21%
66%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |