PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 3
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
28%
27%
46%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 1
RJC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
PSV
0 - 0
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 0
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
NEC
3 - 1
WIL
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
14%
21%
64%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
32%
25%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |