PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ADO
0 - 2
PSV
16%
25%
60%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 3
RJC
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PSV
3 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
VOL
2 - 2
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 0
FEY
24%
23%
54%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 2
WIL
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 5
AZA
27%
23%
50%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |