PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
PSV
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 2
PSV
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 3
GIR
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PSV
5 - 0
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
WIL
3 - 1
RKC
49%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |