Europa League Knock-outs Last 16
Global 3-5
PSV vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 2
PSV
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
2 - 6
TWE
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 2
FEY
70%
18%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 1
TRA
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 2
MLL
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 2
PSV
59%
22%
20%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
VCF
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 2
SEV
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 0
STO
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |