PSV vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FEY
3 - 3
PSV
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
PAN
4 - 1
PSV
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 4
PSV
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 1
ARS
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
RJC
3 - 1
RBC
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
RJC
5 - 1
GRO
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 1
RJC
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 1
ADO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 1
RJC
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |