PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.8%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.4%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.8%
1.5%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1996 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
8%
17%
76%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
56%
22%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
PSV
1 - 0
VIT
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 5
PSV
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
TWE
3 - 2
PSV
26%
24%
51%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
NEC
2 - 1
RKC
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
VOL
1 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 4
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |