PSV vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VVV
0 - 6
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 3
PSV
13%
20%
67%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 0
FEY
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
DNI
2 - 0
PSV
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
NAP
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 0
LAZ
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 0
NAP
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
4 - 0
AIK
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |