UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 4-3
PSV vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
4 - 1
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
PSV
33%
24%
43%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 5
PSV
45%
22%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 1
BET
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
PSV
5 - 0
EIN
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STR
1 - 2
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
PSV
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 1
MON
30%
25%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
INT
2 - 2
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |