Eredivisie Round 25

PSV vs Heracles analysis

PSV Heracles
89 ELO 71
3% Tilt 19.1%
104º General ELO ranking 378º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
74.6%
PSV
16.3%
Draw
9%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
PSV
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9%
Win probability
Heracles
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSV
+8%
-1%
Heracles

ELO progression

PSV
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2022
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
10%
18%
73%
89 73 16 0
27 Feb. 2022
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
11%
17%
73%
88 67 21 +1
24 Feb. 2022
MTA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 - 1
PSV
PSV
17%
21%
61%
89 82 7 -1
20 Feb. 2022
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
73%
17%
10%
88 70 18 +1
17 Feb. 2022
PSV
PSV
1 - 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
MTA
69%
18%
13%
89 82 7 -1

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2022
HER
Heracles
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
71 67 4 0
19 Feb. 2022
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 1
Heracles
HER
76%
16%
8%
71 86 15 0
11 Feb. 2022
HER
Heracles
1 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
21%
22%
56%
71 81 10 0
06 Feb. 2022
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Heracles
HER
80%
13%
7%
71 88 17 0
27 Jan. 2022
BVO
Cambuur
0 - 1
Heracles
HER
62%
20%
19%
71 76 5 0