PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 1
FEY
53%
23%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 2
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ADO
0 - 3
PSV
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
HER
4 - 2
RKC
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ADO
0 - 0
HER
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 0
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
FOR
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |