PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
PSV
25%
22%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FCR
2 - 2
PSV
35%
25%
41%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 0
RJC
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 1
FEY
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
HER
8%
15%
77%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |