PSV vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 1
ACM
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
2 - 0
PSV
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FEY
3 - 5
PSV
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
GRA
2 - 4
RKC
30%
25%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
ADO
2 - 0
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |