PSV vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 2
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 0
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PSV
4 - 1
UTR
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
PSV
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FEY
5 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 4
GRO
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |