PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 2
PSV
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PSV
7 - 0
ADO
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 1
FEY
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HER
1 - 5
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 3
ZWO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UTR
0 - 3
NEC
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 4
UTR
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 2
UTR
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
62%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |