PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
PSV
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 3
SCH
57%
23%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 1
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 0
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 1
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RJC
0 - 0
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |