Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 2-0
PSV vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
3 - 1
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
BNE
0 - 1
PSV
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
4 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
43%
27%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
CVA
0 - 1
PSV
30%
29%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASH
0 - 3
BNE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
BNE
0 - 1
PSV
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BNE
1 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
BNE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BNE
1 - 1
HAP
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |