PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
4º
2º
67
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
BOG
1 - 2
PSV
26%
21%
53%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 0
ARS
32%
24%
45%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
4 - 2
PSV
9%
17%
75%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RKC
3 - 1
AZA
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
SKD
61%
21%
19%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
VOL
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 2
AZA
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
AZA
14%
20%
67%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | -1 |