PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
RJC
0 - 2
PSV
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
SPA
0 - 1
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 0
GRO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
PSV
6 - 0
RBC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
PSV
4 - 1
BOS
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 1
AZA
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
AZA
0 - 3
FEY
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 3
AZA
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
AZA
0 - 5
PSV
23%
24%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
VIT
3 - 2
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |