PSV vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
PSV
2 - 0
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FEY
1 - 2
PSV
44%
23%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
SEV
2 - 3
PSV
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TWE
0 - 3
PSV
32%
24%
44%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
PSV
0 - 2
S04
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
28%
25%
48%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
LUT
3 - 4
ARS
8%
19%
73%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 1
WOL
80%
13%
7%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
ARS
6 - 0
LEN
87%
9%
3%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
ARS
22%
24%
54%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |