Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 7-0
PSV vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
PSV
0 - 0
HAU
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 1
ADO
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
HAU
0 - 1
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
10%
17%
74%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
APO
3 - 1
AUS
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
AUS
1 - 2
APO
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
APO
3 - 1
SHR
64%
21%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SHR
2 - 1
APO
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
APO
4 - 0
KZA
79%
15%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |