PSTC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
79.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSTC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 3
PST
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PST
0 - 3
JMA
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PST
0 - 0
PAR
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
PST
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
4 - 0
PST
83%
12%
4%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
COT
10%
20%
70%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
TCW
78%
16%
5%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
11%
20%
70%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
GRE
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 2
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |