PSG II vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
PSG
0 - 3
LIL
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 0
PSG
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
PSG
1 - 2
MAN
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROY
3 - 0
PSG
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 3
PSG
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
LMU
2 - 1
LEN
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
LMU
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LMU
0 - 4
LHA
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LMU
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
LMU
0 - 0
ARL
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |