Provincial Ranco vs Comunal Cabrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
PRO
8%
13%
79%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
DLI
3 - 0
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
DUC
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
MSA
2 - 2
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 3
REN
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Comunal Cabrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
PRO
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |