Progresso vs Hankook Verdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
ALT
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
PRO
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 2
PLA
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
WAG
4 - 3
PRO
19%
20%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hankook Verdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
POL
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
4 - 2
WAG
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
HAN
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
1 - 1
BDC
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
SPP
0 - 1
HAN
42%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |