Progresso vs Hankook Verdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
7º
4º
27
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
WAG
72%
16%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
PRO
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BDC
0 - 2
PRO
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALT
46%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPP
2 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hankook Verdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 4
SPP
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WAG
1 - 3
HAN
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
PLA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BDC
0 - 1
HAN
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
HAN
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |