Progresso vs Belmopan Bandits analysis


32	ELO	20
-10.8%	Tilt	-13.3%
48914º	General ELO ranking	20251º
37º	Country ELO ranking	6º
ELO win probability

76.5%

Progresso

14.4%

Draw

9.1%

Belmopan Bandits

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

76.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%

14.4%

Draw

0-0

3%

1-1

6.7%

2-2

3.7%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

14.4%

9.1%

Win probability

0.82

Expected goals

0-1

2.5%

1-2

2.7%

2-3

1%

3-4

0.2%

4-5

0%

-1

6.5%

0-2

1%

1-3

0.8%

2-4

0.2%

3-5

0%

-2

2%

0-3

0.3%

1-4

0.2%

2-5

0%

-3

0.5%

0-4

0.1%

1-5

0%

-4

0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-48%

-55%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

23

3º

7º

4º

2

4º

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

8º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	27	30	1º	53%
3º	26	29	2º	27.5%
1º	28	28	3º	27.5%
4º	23	23	4º	100%
5º	22	22	5º	100%
6º	21	21	6º	100%
7º	6	6	7º	100%
8º	2	2	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	100%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Progresso

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Mar. 2023	PRO 3 - 0 BDC 48% 22% 30%	32	31	1	0
12 Mar. 2023	ALT 1 - 2 PRO 48% 23% 29%	32	32	0	0
05 Mar. 2023	PRO 0 - 0 SPP 51% 22% 27%	32	31	1	0
26 Feb. 2023	PLA 0 - 0 PRO 53% 21% 26%	32	32	0	0
19 Feb. 2023	PRO 2 - 2 HAN 50% 22% 28%	31	31	0	+1

Matches

Belmopan Bandits

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Mar. 2023	SPP 3 - 0 BEL 75% 15% 10%	21	32	11	0
12 Mar. 2023	BEL 1 - 3 PLA 23% 21% 56%	22	32	10	-1
05 Mar. 2023	HAN 5 - 0 BEL 72% 17% 12%	22	32	10	0
26 Feb. 2023	BEL 1 - 2 WAG 56% 21% 24%	23	21	2	-1
19 Feb. 2023	ALT 3 - 0 BEL 68% 18% 14%	23	32	9	0