Progreso vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 0
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 0
PRO
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
RIV
31%
26%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LFC
0 - 1
PRO
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
CSC
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 0
CEL
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
5 - 1
SUD
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 1
LFC
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CSC
2 - 0
SUD
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 2
NAC
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |